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Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Piwowarczyk vs David Heath

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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David Heath
us

David Heath

“The Headhunter”

18-7-0Light HeavyweightKOTC

1676Good

Tale of the tape

12-4-0Record18-7-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height5'11"
77"ReachTBD
206 lbsWeight203 lbs
Czerwony SmokTeamAbsolute Combat Alliance

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian PiwowarczykNow 1673
If they win+16→ 1689
If they lose-16→ 1657
David HeathNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1572 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.48
Not available
Strike accuracy
30%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.16
Not available
Strike defense
49%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.33
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
57%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.98

Trajectory

Damian PiwowarczykDavid Heath
160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (58%)
KO/TKO
7 (39%)
4 (33%)
Submission
8 (44%)
1 (8%)
Decision
3 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Piwowarczyk69%
David Heath 31%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Piwowarczyk a 69% favorite over David Heath in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans David Heath's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1673 vs 1676), separated by just 3 points.

Damian Piwowarczyk enters on a 4-fight win streak.

David Heath enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Damian Piwowarczyk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, David Heath 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.