Damian Piwowarczyk vs Dmitriy Aryshev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-4-0Record15-10-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height5'11"
77"Reach-
206 lbsWeight187 lbs
Czerwony SmokTeamSech Pro· 1665 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1690
If they lose-16→ 1658
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damian PiwowarczykDmitriy Aryshev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dmitriy Aryshev54%
Damian Piwowarczyk 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dmitriy Aryshev a 54% favorite over Damian Piwowarczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damian Piwowarczyk's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1674 vs 1674), separated by just 0 points.
Damian Piwowarczyk enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Damian Piwowarczyk finishes 92% of wins inside the distance, Dmitriy Aryshev 93%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.