Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Piwowarczyk vs Ion Cutelaba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ion Cutelaba
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Ion Cutelaba

“The Hulk”

20-12-1Light HeavyweightUFC

1641Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record20-12-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'6"Height6'1"
78.7"Reach75"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian PiwowarczykNow 1637
If they win+16→ 1653
If they lose-16→ 1621
Ion CutelabaNow 1641
If they win+12→ 1653
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1527 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.13
Not available
Strike accuracy
44%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
Not available
Strike defense
46%
Not available
Takedown avg.
4.02
Not available
Takedown accuracy
7%
Not available
Takedown defense
76%
Not available
Submission avg.
0.27

Trajectory

Damian PiwowarczykIon Cutelaba
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (55%)
KO/TKO
13 (65%)
4 (36%)
Submission
4 (20%)
1 (9%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Ion Cutelaba74%
Damian Piwowarczyk 26%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Ion Cutelaba a 74% favorite over Damian Piwowarczyk in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1637 vs 1641), separated by just 4 points.

Damian Piwowarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Damian Piwowarczyk finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Ion Cutelaba 85%.

Damian Piwowarczyk carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.