Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Rzepecki vs Jason Saggo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-1-0Record13-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
73.6"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Top Fit Center Piotrkow TrybunalskiTeamWulfrun MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damian RzepeckiNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Jason SaggoNow 1676
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.50
TBD
Strike accuracy
40%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.94
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
2.33
TBD
Takedown accuracy
40%
TBD
Takedown defense
23%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damian RzepeckiJason Saggo
165017002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (40%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
5 (50%)
Submission
9 (69%)
1 (10%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Rzepecki66%
Jason Saggo 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Rzepecki a 66% favorite over Jason Saggo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1676 vs 1676), separated by just 0 points.

Damian Rzepecki finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Jason Saggo 92%.

Damian Rzepecki carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.