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Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Stasiak vs Pingyuan Liu

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record15-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'6"
70,0"Reach72,0"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

Pingyuan Liu is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Damian Stasiak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damian StasiakNow 1567
If they win+14→ 1581
If they lose-10→ 1557
Pingyuan LiuNow 1634
If they win+13→ 1647
If they lose-19→ 1615

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1550 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
2.36
36%
Strike accuracy
34%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.99
53%
Strike defense
54%
2.64
Takedown avg.
0.25
35%
Takedown accuracy
20%
44%
Takedown defense
56%
0.61
Submission avg.
1.02

Trajectory

Damian StasiakPingyuan Liu
1550160016502018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
11 (79%)
Submission
6 (40%)
2 (14%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Pingyuan Liu56%
Damian Stasiak 44%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Pingyuan Liu a 56% favorite over Damian Stasiak in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Pingyuan Liu holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1567, a 67-point edge.

Pingyuan Liu enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damian Stasiak finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Pingyuan Liu 67%.

Pingyuan Liu carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.