Combat Edge Intelligence

Damian Stasiak vs Yaotzin Meza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-10-0Record23-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'5"Height5'9"
70,0"Reach39,0"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Octopus LodzTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Yaotzin Meza is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damian Stasiak carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damian StasiakNow 1575
If they win+18→ 1593
If they lose-14→ 1561
Yaotzin MezaNow 1614
If they win+11→ 1625
If they lose-13→ 1601

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1543 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.86
Sig. strikes / min
1.43
36%
Strike accuracy
41%
3.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.62
53%
Strike defense
65%
2.64
Takedown avg.
1.06
35%
Takedown accuracy
20%
44%
Takedown defense
18%
0.61
Submission avg.
1.42

Trajectory

Damian StasiakYaotzin Meza
160020172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

1 (7%)
KO/TKO
5 (22%)
11 (79%)
Submission
9 (39%)
2 (14%)
Decision
9 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

Damian Stasiak54%
Yaotzin Meza 46%Elo baseline: 44%

The Combat Edge model makes Damian Stasiak a 54% favorite over Yaotzin Meza in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yaotzin Meza's way (44%).

Yaotzin Meza holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1614 to 1575, a 39-point edge.

Damian Stasiak finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Yaotzin Meza 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.