Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Anderson vs Justin Lawrence

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

5-1-0Record11-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
69"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
TeamPower MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damien AndersonNow 1603
If they win+24→ 1627
If they lose-24→ 1579
Justin LawrenceNow 1604
If they win+16→ 1620
If they lose-16→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1533 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1562 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0
Sig. strikes / min
3.96
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.43
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.38
TBD
Takedown accuracy
29%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damien AndersonJustin Lawrence
1550160020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (20%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
4 (80%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Damien Anderson62%
Justin Lawrence 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damien Anderson a 62% favorite over Justin Lawrence in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Justin Lawrence's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1603 vs 1604), separated by just 1 points.

Damien Anderson finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Lawrence 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.