Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Brown vs Dong Hyun Ma

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record16-11-3
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach70.50
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamBusan Team MAD

What's at stake

Dong Hyun Ma is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damien Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damien BrownNow 1583
If they win+13→ 1596
If they lose-11→ 1572
Dong Hyun MaNow 1615
If they win+11→ 1626
If they lose-13→ 1602

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1645 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
39%
Strike accuracy
49%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.89
50%
Strike defense
59%
0.68
Takedown avg.
2.93
27%
Takedown accuracy
44%
54%
Takedown defense
72%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.60

Trajectory

Damien BrownDong Hyun Ma
155016001650201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
9 (47%)
Submission
6 (38%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Dong Hyun Ma61%
Damien Brown 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Dong Hyun Ma a 61% favorite over Damien Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Dong Hyun Ma holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1615 to 1583, a 32-point edge.

Dong Hyun Ma enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Dong Hyun Ma 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.