Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Brown vs Jon Tuck

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Jon Tuck
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Jon Tuck

“Super Saiyan”

11-5-0LightweightBFC

1627Solid

Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamKings MMA

What's at stake

Jon Tuck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Damien Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damien BrownNow 1583
If they win+14→ 1597
If they lose-10→ 1573
Jon TuckNow 1627
If they win+14→ 1641
If they lose-18→ 1609

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1616 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
3
39%
Strike accuracy
40%
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.74
50%
Strike defense
61%
0.68
Takedown avg.
0.42
27%
Takedown accuracy
33%
54%
Takedown defense
50%
0.68
Submission avg.
0.97

Trajectory

Damien BrownJon Tuck
15501600201720182019

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
9 (47%)
Submission
5 (45%)
7 (37%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Jon Tuck70%
Damien Brown 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 70% favorite over Damien Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Jon Tuck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1627 to 1583, a 44-point edge.

Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jon Tuck 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.