Damien Brown vs Jon Tuck
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
19-13-0Record11-5-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
TBDReach73,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamKings MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Jon Tuck is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Damien Brown carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1601
If they lose-11→ 1577
If they win+14→ 1642
If they lose-18→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1614 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1618 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damien BrownJon Tuck
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jon Tuck57%
Damien Brown 43%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Jon Tuck a 57% favorite over Damien Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Jon Tuck holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1628 to 1588, a 40-point edge.
Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Jon Tuck 91%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.