Combat Edge Intelligence

Damien Brown vs Pedro Souza

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-13-0Record5-0-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Base Training CentreTeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damien BrownNow 1588
If they win+12→ 1600
If they lose-12→ 1576
Pedro SouzaNow 1585
If they win+24→ 1609
If they lose-24→ 1561

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1613 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1536 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
39%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.86
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
50%
Strike defense
TBD
0.68
Takedown avg.
TBD
27%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
54%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.68
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Damien BrownPedro Souza
14501500155016002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (16%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
9 (47%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (80%)

Combat Edge model read

Pedro Souza70%
Damien Brown 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Pedro Souza a 70% favorite over Damien Brown in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damien Brown's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1585), separated by just 3 points.

Pedro Souza enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Damien Brown finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Pedro Souza 20%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.