Damien Lapilus vs Edmund Kwan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-15-3Record5-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
79.5"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1641 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1577
If they lose-12→ 1553
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damien LapilusEdmund Kwan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Damien Lapilus56%
Edmund Kwan 44%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Damien Lapilus a 56% favorite over Edmund Kwan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Edmund Kwan's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1565 vs 1566), separated by just 1 points.
Damien Lapilus finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Edmund Kwan 100%.
Damien Lapilus carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.