Damien Lapilus vs Ulysse Ndong
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-15-3Record3-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'8"
79.5"Reach-
155 lbsWeight148 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamFight Move Academy· 1627 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1563
If they lose-12→ 1539
If they win+24→ 1575
If they lose-24→ 1527
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1541 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1493 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Damien LapilusUlysse Ndong
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ulysse Ndong51%
Damien Lapilus 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ulysse Ndong a 51% favorite over Damien Lapilus in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damien Lapilus's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1551 vs 1551), separated by just 0 points.
Ulysse Ndong enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Damien Lapilus finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Ulysse Ndong 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.