Combat Edge Intelligence

Damion Douglas vs David Zawada

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'0"
TBDReach75"
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Cesar Gracie Fight TeamTeamUFD Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damion DouglasNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-24→ 1535
David ZawadaNow 1560
If they win+12→ 1572
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1486 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.84
TBD
Strike accuracy
41%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.54
TBD
Strike defense
56%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.97
TBD
Takedown accuracy
17%
TBD
Takedown defense
57%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.69

Trajectory

Damion DouglasDavid Zawada
15501600200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (25%)
KO/TKO
12 (60%)
2 (50%)
Submission
5 (25%)
1 (25%)
Decision
3 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Damion Douglas and David Zawada within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1559 vs 1560), separated by just 1 points.

Damion Douglas enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Damion Douglas finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, David Zawada 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.