Damir Hadžović vs Erick Maia
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-8-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamLabareda Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damir HadžovićErick Maia
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Erick Maia63%
Damir Hadžović 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Erick Maia a 63% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Hadžović's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Erick Maia 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.