Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Erick Maia

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record9-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'6"
70"Reach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
Erick MaiaNow 1601
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
48%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
63%
Strike defense
Not available
0.78
Takedown avg.
Not available
56%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
35%
Takedown defense
Not available
0.16
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićErick Maia
15001550160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
3 (21%)
Submission
6 (67%)
4 (29%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Damir Hadžović56%
Erick Maia 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Damir Hadžović a 56% favorite over Erick Maia in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Erick Maia enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Erick Maia 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.