Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Marc Diakiese

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record18-8-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamGreat Britain Top Team

What's at stake

Marc Diakiese is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Damir Hadžović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+18→ 1619
If they lose-14→ 1587
Marc DiakieseNow 1641
If they win+11→ 1652
If they lose-13→ 1628

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1632 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
2.54
48%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.64
63%
Strike defense
53%
0.78
Takedown avg.
3.29
56%
Takedown accuracy
10%
35%
Takedown defense
67%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićMarc Diakiese
160016501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
6 (33%)
3 (21%)
Submission
1 (6%)
4 (29%)
Decision
11 (61%)

Combat Edge model read

Marc Diakiese70%
Damir Hadžović 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Marc Diakiese a 70% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Marc Diakiese holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1641 to 1601, a 40-point edge.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marc Diakiese 39%.

Marc Diakiese carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.