Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Terrance McKinney

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record18-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamWarrior Camp

What's at stake

Terrance McKinney is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Damir Hadžović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+19→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1588
Terrance McKinneyNow 1661
If they win+10→ 1671
If they lose-14→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1671 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
6.53
48%
Strike accuracy
56%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.45
63%
Strike defense
43%
0.78
Takedown avg.
3.31
56%
Takedown accuracy
0%
35%
Takedown defense
73%
0.16
Submission avg.
2.07

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićTerrance McKinney
160016502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (50%)
3 (21%)
Submission
9 (50%)
4 (29%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Terrance McKinney92%
Damir Hadžović 8%Elo baseline: 59%

The Combat Edge model makes Terrance McKinney a 92% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).

Terrance McKinney holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1661 to 1601, a 60-point edge.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Terrance McKinney 100%.

Terrance McKinney carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.