Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Marcin Held

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record29-10-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'9"
70"Reach39,5"
155 lbsWeight156 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamAnkos MMA

What's at stake

Marcin Held is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Damir Hadžović carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+19→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1588
Marcin HeldNow 1672
If they win+10→ 1682
If they lose-14→ 1658

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1601 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
1.41
48%
Strike accuracy
35%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.02
63%
Strike defense
47%
0.78
Takedown avg.
2.46
56%
Takedown accuracy
47%
35%
Takedown defense
38%
0.16
Submission avg.
1.31

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićMarcin Held
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (14%)
3 (21%)
Submission
15 (52%)
4 (29%)
Decision
10 (34%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Held71%
Damir Hadžović 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Held a 71% favorite over Damir Hadžović in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Marcin Held holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1672 to 1601, a 71-point edge.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Held 66%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.