Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Hadžović vs Marco Polo Reyes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

14-8-0Record16-9-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'10"
70"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Arte Suave CopenhagenTeamEntram Gym

What's at stake

Damir Hadžović is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Marco Polo Reyes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damir HadžovićNow 1601
If they win+14→ 1615
If they lose-18→ 1583
Marco Polo ReyesNow 1567
If they win+18→ 1585
If they lose-14→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1660 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
6
48%
Strike accuracy
37%
3.26
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.52
63%
Strike defense
60%
0.78
Takedown avg.
0
56%
Takedown accuracy
0%
35%
Takedown defense
47%
0.16
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Damir HadžovićMarco Polo Reyes
1550160020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

7 (50%)
KO/TKO
12 (75%)
3 (21%)
Submission
2 (13%)
4 (29%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Damir Hadžović61%
Marco Polo Reyes 39%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Damir Hadžović a 61% favorite over Marco Polo Reyes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Damir Hadžović holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1601 to 1567, a 34-point edge.

Damir Hadžović enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Marco Polo Reyes enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damir Hadžović finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Marco Polo Reyes 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.