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Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Ismagulov vs Esteban Ribovics

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-3-0Record17-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir IsmagulovNow 1770
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
Esteban RibovicsNow 1762
If they win+16→ 1778
If they lose-16→ 1746

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1694 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
7.43
43%
Strike accuracy
44%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.74
61%
Strike defense
54%
1
Takedown avg.
0.32
28%
Takedown accuracy
0%
70%
Takedown defense
66%
0
Submission avg.
0.16

Trajectory

Damir IsmagulovEsteban Ribovics
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (50%)
KO/TKO
9 (53%)
1 (4%)
Submission
5 (29%)
12 (46%)
Decision
3 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Esteban Ribovics61%
Damir Ismagulov 39%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Esteban Ribovics a 61% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Ismagulov's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1762), separated by just 8 points.

Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Esteban Ribovics enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Esteban Ribovics 82%.

Damir Ismagulov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.