Damir Ismagulov vs Gregor Gillespie
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-3-0Record14-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'9"
74"Reach71,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamBellmore Kickboxing Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-12→ 1755
If they win+16→ 1788
If they lose-16→ 1756
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1648 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damir IsmagulovGregor Gillespie
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Gregor Gillespie53%
Damir Ismagulov 47%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Gregor Gillespie a 53% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1772), separated by just 5 points.
Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Gregor Gillespie 86%.
Damir Ismagulov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.