Damir Ismagulov vs Manoel Sousa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
26-3-0Record15-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach70"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1781
If they lose-12→ 1757
If they win+17→ 1773
If they lose-15→ 1741
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1596 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damir IsmagulovManoel Sousa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Manoel Sousa71%
Damir Ismagulov 29%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Manoel Sousa a 71% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Ismagulov's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1769 vs 1756), separated by just 13 points.
Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Manoel Sousa enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Manoel Sousa 80%.
Damir Ismagulov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.