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Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Ismagulov vs Natan Schulte

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

26-3-0Record26-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir IsmagulovNow 1770
If they win+12→ 1782
If they lose-12→ 1758
Natan SchulteNow 1772
If they win+12→ 1784
If they lose-12→ 1760

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
28%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
70%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Damir IsmagulovNatan Schulte
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (50%)
KO/TKO
4 (15%)
1 (4%)
Submission
10 (38%)
12 (46%)
Decision
12 (46%)

Combat Edge model read

Natan Schulte58%
Damir Ismagulov 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Natan Schulte a 58% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1770 vs 1772), separated by just 2 points.

Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Natan Schulte 54%.

Damir Ismagulov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.