Damir Ismagulov vs Natan Schulte
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-3-0Record25-6-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
74"Reach69"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamAmerican Top Team· avg 1721 Elo
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-12→ 1755
If they win+12→ 1773
If they lose-12→ 1749
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1628 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1657 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damir IsmagulovNatan Schulte
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natan Schulte60%
Damir Ismagulov 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Natan Schulte a 60% favorite over Damir Ismagulov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damir Ismagulov's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1761), separated by just 6 points.
Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Natan Schulte 56%.
Damir Ismagulov carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.