Combat Edge Intelligence

Damir Ismagulov vs Will Brooks

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

26-3-0Record26-5-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'11"
74"Reach72,0"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Boets MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damir IsmagulovNow 1767
If they win+12→ 1779
If they lose-12→ 1755
Will BrooksNow 1763
If they win+12→ 1775
If they lose-12→ 1751

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.36
Sig. strikes / min
4.26
43%
Strike accuracy
59%
2.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.54
61%
Strike defense
56%
1
Takedown avg.
2.08
28%
Takedown accuracy
52%
70%
Takedown defense
83%
0
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Damir IsmagulovWill Brooks
17501800202220232024

Win method breakdown

13 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (27%)
1 (4%)
Submission
6 (23%)
12 (46%)
Decision
13 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Damir Ismagulov53%
Will Brooks 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Damir Ismagulov a 53% favorite over Will Brooks in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1767 vs 1763), separated by just 4 points.

Damir Ismagulov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Will Brooks enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Damir Ismagulov finishes 54% of wins inside the distance, Will Brooks 50%.

Damir Ismagulov carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.