Damon Jackson vs Dan Argueta
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-8-1Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'11"Height5'7"
71"Reach68"
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Fortis MMATeamJackson-Wink MMA
What's at stake
Damon Jackson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dan Argueta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1687
If they lose-14→ 1663
If they win+18→ 1647
If they lose-14→ 1615
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Damon JacksonDan Argueta
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Argueta55%
Damon Jackson 45%Elo baseline: 43%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 55% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damon Jackson's way (43%).
Damon Jackson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1677 to 1629, a 48-point edge.
Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Dan Argueta 67%.
Damon Jackson carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.