Combat Edge Intelligence

Damon Jackson vs Ilia Topuria

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Ilia Topuria
es

Ilia Topuria

“El Matador”

17-1-0FeatherweightUFC

1829Great

Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record17-1-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamCliment Club

What's at stake

Ilia Topuria is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Damon Jackson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Damon JacksonNow 1677
If they win+17→ 1694
If they lose-7→ 1670
Ilia TopuriaNow 1829
If they win+9→ 1838
If they lose-23→ 1806

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1757 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
4.81
43%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.83
49%
Strike defense
64%
2.30
Takedown avg.
1.96
33%
Takedown accuracy
61%
38%
Takedown defense
94%
1.20
Submission avg.
1.07

Trajectory

Damon JacksonIlia Topuria
17001750180018502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
7 (41%)
15 (65%)
Submission
8 (47%)
4 (17%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Ilia Topuria92%
Damon Jackson 8%Elo baseline: 71%

The Combat Edge model makes Ilia Topuria a 92% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).

Ilia Topuria holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1829 to 1677, a 152-point edge.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Ilia Topuria 88%.

Damon Jackson carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.