Combat Edge Intelligence

Damon Jackson vs Mirsad Bektić

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

23-8-1Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fortis MMATeamTristar Gym

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Damon JacksonNow 1677
If they win+12→ 1689
If they lose-12→ 1665
Mirsad BektićNow 1677
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1683 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1659 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.96
Sig. strikes / min
2.43
43%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.80
49%
Strike defense
58%
2.30
Takedown avg.
3.98
33%
Takedown accuracy
53%
38%
Takedown defense
92%
1.20
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Damon JacksonMirsad Bektić
17001750201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (17%)
KO/TKO
6 (46%)
15 (65%)
Submission
3 (23%)
4 (17%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Mirsad Bektić70%
Damon Jackson 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mirsad Bektić a 70% favorite over Damon Jackson in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Damon Jackson's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1677), separated by just 0 points.

Damon Jackson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Mirsad Bektić enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Damon Jackson finishes 83% of wins inside the distance, Mirsad Bektić 69%.

Damon Jackson and Mirsad Bektić share 1 common opponent: Dan Ige.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossKO/TKO · 2023
Dan Ige
LossDecision (split) · 2020