Dan Argueta vs Jake Hadley
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach70"
135 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamTeam Fearless
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
If they win+16→ 1660
If they lose-16→ 1628
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1643 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaJake Hadley
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jake Hadley76%
Dan Argueta 24%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jake Hadley a 76% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1644), separated by just 2 points.
Dan Argueta enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jake Hadley enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jake Hadley 75%.
Jake Hadley carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.