Dan Argueta vs Jean Matsumoto
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record18-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
68"Reach68"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamInside Muay Thai
What's at stake
Jean Matsumoto is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Dan Argueta carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1651
If they lose-10→ 1619
If they win+10→ 1764
If they lose-22→ 1732
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1627 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan ArguetaJean Matsumoto
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean Matsumoto92%
Dan Argueta 8%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean Matsumoto a 92% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Jean Matsumoto holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1754 to 1629, a 125-point edge.
Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Jean Matsumoto 50%.
Dan Argueta and Jean Matsumoto share 1 common opponent: Miles Johns.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.