Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Argueta vs Júlio Assunção

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Argueta
us

Dan Argueta

“The Determined”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record6-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
68"Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamCerrado MMA· 1632 avg Elo · 8 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan ArguetaNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Júlio AssunçãoNow 1628
If they win+24→ 1652
If they lose-24→ 1604

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1486 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
43%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
51%
Strike defense
Not available
4.36
Takedown avg.
Not available
36%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
56%
Takedown defense
Not available
1.45
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan ArguetaJúlio Assunção
1550160016502022202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
4 (44%)
Submission
1 (17%)
3 (33%)
Decision
2 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Dan Argueta67%
Júlio Assunção 33%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Dan Argueta a 67% favorite over Júlio Assunção in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1628), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Júlio Assunção enters on a 6-fight win streak.

Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Júlio Assunção 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.