Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Argueta vs Manny Vazquez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Argueta
us

Dan Argueta

“The Determined”

9-3-0BantamweightUFC

1629Solid

Tale of the tape

9-3-0Record12-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamPatriot Grappling Systems

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan ArguetaNow 1629
If they win+16→ 1645
If they lose-16→ 1613
Manny VazquezNow 1630
If they win+16→ 1646
If they lose-16→ 1614

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1606 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.48
Sig. strikes / min
1.47
43%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.44
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.67
51%
Strike defense
49%
4.36
Takedown avg.
1
36%
Takedown accuracy
33%
56%
Takedown defense
0%
1.45
Submission avg.
1

Trajectory

Dan ArguetaManny Vazquez
1650202220232024

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
1 (8%)
4 (44%)
Submission
7 (58%)
3 (33%)
Decision
4 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Manny Vazquez60%
Dan Argueta 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Manny Vazquez a 60% favorite over Dan Argueta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1629 vs 1630), separated by just 1 points.

Dan Argueta enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Argueta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Manny Vazquez 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.