Dan Barrera vs Jan Šťastný
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
3-1-0Record1-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
TBDHeight6'0"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
If they win+24→ 1514
If they lose-24→ 1466
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan BarreraJan Šťastný
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jan Šťastný52%
Dan Barrera 48%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Jan Šťastný a 52% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1490), separated by just 7 points.
Dan Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.