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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Barrera vs Jorge Chacon

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

3-1-0Record0-1-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
TBDHeight5'10"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan BarreraNow 1483
If they win+24→ 1507
If they lose-24→ 1459
Jorge ChaconNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 1 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.80
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
71%
Strike accuracy
Not available
1.20
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
28%
Strike defense
Not available
1
Takedown avg.
Not available
8%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
0%
Takedown defense
Not available
0
Submission avg.
Not available

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (33%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Jorge Chacon55%
Dan Barrera 45%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jorge Chacon a 55% favorite over Dan Barrera in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Barrera's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1478), separated by just 5 points.

Dan Barrera finishes 67% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.