Daud Shaikhaev19-5-1
Bibert Tumenov16-2-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
18%Daud Shaikhaev82%Bibert Tumenov
Combat Edge Model · Full card
ACA 208: Shaikhaev vs Tumenov predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on ACA 208: Shaikhaev vs Tumenov (October 4, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
22Total bouts
10Frozen forecasts
4Close matchups
3Model / Elo splits
5Strong model leans
OpenPicks close at start
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 22 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov22-2-0
Gleison Tibau40-19-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
84%Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov16%Gleison Tibau
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev34-10-0
Vicente Vargas24-8-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
73%Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev27%Vicente Vargas
Kurban Taygibov16-4-0
Dzhambulat Selimkhanov16-4-0
Model leanModel / Elo split
42%Kurban Taygibov58%Dzhambulat Selimkhanov
Adlan Ibragimov9-3-0
Sergey Starodub7-2-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agree
50.5%Adlan Ibragimov49.5%Sergey Starodub
Prelims
Prelims predictions
12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Rustam Kerimov22-2-0
Aleksandr Podlesniy23-8-2
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
77%Rustam Kerimov24%Aleksandr Podlesniy
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev20-6-0
Mikhail Dolgov11-9-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Kirill Grishenko9-2-0
Daniil Matsola7-1-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
49.3%Kirill Grishenko50.7%Daniil Matsola
Magomed Sulumov12-5-0
Sheymon Moraes17-7-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Herbert Batista20-8-1
Uzair Abdurakov20-3-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agree
25%Herbert Batista75%Uzair Abdurakov
Shamil Boraev7-1-0
Timur Valiev19-5-0
Close matchupModel / Elo split
51%Shamil Boraev49%Timur Valiev
Yunus Evloev28-9-0
Francisco Figueiredo13-6-1
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Murad Abdulaev24-9-0
Mark Hulme13-5-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Kurban Gadzhiev20-5-0
Umalat Israpilov18-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baseline
46%Kurban Gadzhiev54%Umalat Israpilov
Imam Vitakhanov12-5-0
Magnus Conrado20-7-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Husein Kushagov17-11-0
Evgeny Erokhin26-13-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Ali Suleymanov15-1-0
Murad Khasaev6-2-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Early prelims
Early prelims predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Magomed Malsagov4-1-0
Artur Astakhov22-11-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Tamirlan Ashakhanov8-6-0
Renan Oliveira14-2-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Ramzan Suleymanov9-1-0
Vazha Tsiptauri14-8-1
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Murat Fakov7-4-0
Asvad Akhmatov11-6-0
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.
Islam Geroev7-1-0
Alan Gomes de Castro16-7-1
The frozen model forecast is not available for this bout yet.