Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov23-2-0
Gleison Tibau40-20-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov won
87%Abdul-Aziz Abdulvakhabov13%Gleison Tibau
Combat Edge Model · Full card
ACA 208: ABDULVAKHABOV vs TIBAU predictions
Model win probabilities for every bout on ACA 208: ABDULVAKHABOV vs TIBAU (October 4, 2026), computed from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. Forecasts freeze before fight night and every result is graded on the public accuracy tracker. Analytics, not betting advice.
21Total bouts
21Frozen forecasts
4Close matchups
6Model / Elo splits
5Strong model leans
LockedFight card started
Card intelligence
Find the fights that matter
Scan every matchup, isolate close calls, or find where the full model and Elo baseline see different winners.
Showing all 21 matchups.
Main card
Main card predictions
4 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev34-10-0
Vicente Vargas24-9-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev won
73%Abdul-Rakhman Dudaev27%Vicente Vargas
Kurban Taygibov16-5-0
Dzhambulat Selimkhanov17-4-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Dzhambulat Selimkhanov won
42%Kurban Taygibov58%Dzhambulat Selimkhanov
Adlan Ibragimov10-3-0
Sergey Starodub7-3-0
Close matchupModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Adlan Ibragimov won
50.5%Adlan Ibragimov49.5%Sergey Starodub
Prelims
Prelims predictions
12 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Rustam Kerimov22-3-0
Aleksandr Podlesniy24-8-2
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Aleksandr Podlesniy won
76%Rustam Kerimov24%Aleksandr Podlesniy
Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev21-6-0
Mikhail Dolgov11-10-0
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev won
75%Abdul-Rakhman Dzhanaev25%Mikhail Dolgov
Kirill Grishenko10-2-0
Daniil Matsola7-2-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel miss · Kirill Grishenko won
49.3%Kirill Grishenko50.7%Daniil Matsola
Magomed Sulumov13-5-0
Sheymon Moraes17-8-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Magomed Sulumov won
39%Magomed Sulumov61%Sheymon Moraes
Herbert Batista21-8-1
Uzair Abdurakov20-4-1
Strong model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Herbert Batista won
24%Herbert Batista76%Uzair Abdurakov
Shamil Boraev7-2-0
Timur Valiev20-5-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Timur Valiev won
44%Shamil Boraev56%Timur Valiev
Yunus Evloev28-10-0
Francisco Figueiredo14-6-1
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Francisco Figueiredo won
39%Yunus Evloev61%Francisco Figueiredo
Murad Abdulaev24-10-0
Mark Hulme14-5-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Mark Hulme won
32%Murad Abdulaev68%Mark Hulme
Kurban Gadzhiev20-6-0
Umalat Israpilov19-3-0
Close matchup50/50 baselineModel hit · Umalat Israpilov won
46%Kurban Gadzhiev54%Umalat Israpilov
Imam Vitakhanov13-5-0
Magnus Conrado20-8-0
Close matchupModel / Elo splitModel hit · Imam Vitakhanov won
55%Imam Vitakhanov45%Magnus Conrado
Husein Kushagov18-11-0
Evgeny Erokhin26-14-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Husein Kushagov won
38%Husein Kushagov62%Evgeny Erokhin
Ali Suleymanov16-1-0
Murad Khasaev6-3-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Ali Suleymanov won
68%Ali Suleymanov32%Murad Khasaev
Early prelims
Early prelims predictions
5 matchups · model probability, Elo baseline, fighter records, and your pick in one place.
Magomed Malsagov5-1-0
Artur Astakhov22-12-0
Model leanModel / Elo splitModel hit · Magomed Malsagov won
63%Magomed Malsagov37%Artur Astakhov
Tamirlan Ashakhanov8-7-0
Renan Oliveira15-2-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Renan Oliveira won
44%Tamirlan Ashakhanov56%Renan Oliveira
Ramzan Suleymanov9-2-0
Vazha Tsiptauri15-8-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Vazha Tsiptauri won
60%Ramzan Suleymanov40%Vazha Tsiptauri
Murat Fakov7-5-0
Asvad Akhmatov12-6-0
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel miss · Asvad Akhmatov won
57%Murat Fakov43%Asvad Akhmatov
Islam Geroev8-1-0
Alan Gomes de Castro16-8-1
Model leanModel + Elo agreeModel hit · Islam Geroev won
64%Islam Geroev36%Alan Gomes de Castro