Dan Bobish vs Justin Frazier
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record11-3-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionSuper Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'0"
TBDReachTBD
332 lbsWeight281 lbs
Strong Style Fight TeamTeamWithout Limits MMA· 1562 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
Justin Frazier is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Dan Bobish carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1589
If they lose-14→ 1557
If they win+14→ 1630
If they lose-18→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1537 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan BobishJustin Frazier
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Frazier68%
Dan Bobish 32%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Frazier a 68% favorite over Dan Bobish in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Justin Frazier holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1571, a 45-point edge.
Dan Bobish finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Frazier 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.