Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Christison vs Jairzinho Rozenstruik

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record15-6-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'2"
TBDReach 78"
270 lbsWeight259 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan ChristisonNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Jairzinho RozenstruikNow 1703
If they win+16→ 1719
If they lose-16→ 1687

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1726 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.48
52%
Strike accuracy
49%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.63
55%
Strike defense
52%
0
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
38%
Takedown defense
72%
1.05
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Dan ChristisonJairzinho Rozenstruik
16501700200820092010201120122013201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
13 (87%)
12 (60%)
Submission
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jairzinho Rozenstruik58%
Dan Christison 42%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jairzinho Rozenstruik a 58% favorite over Dan Christison in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Christison's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1703), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Christison enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Dan Christison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Jairzinho Rozenstruik 87%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.