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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Christison vs Marcin Tybura

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-7-0Record27-12-0
Super HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'8"Height6'3"
TBDReach78"
270 lbsWeight247 lbs
Jackson-Wink MMATeamAnkos MMA· 1669 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan ChristisonNow 1705
If they win+12→ 1717
If they lose-12→ 1693
Marcin TyburaNow 1707
If they win+12→ 1719
If they lose-12→ 1695

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.23
Sig. strikes / min
3.56
52%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.88
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.26
55%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
1.30
Not available
Takedown accuracy
33%
38%
Takedown defense
71%
1.05
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Dan ChristisonMarcin Tybura
1650170017502008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (37%)
12 (60%)
Submission
7 (26%)
0 (0%)
Decision
10 (37%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcin Tybura75%
Dan Christison 25%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 75% favorite over Dan Christison in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1705 vs 1707), separated by just 2 points.

Dan Christison enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Dan Christison finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.