Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Cramer vs Matthew Riddle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Cramer
us

Dan Cramer

“Cosmo”

11-4-0MiddleweightBFC

1587Solid

Tale of the tape

11-4-0Record0-0-0
MiddleweightDivisionTBD
6'1"HeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeightTBD
American Top TeamTeamTBD

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan CramerNow 1587
If they win+16→ 1603
If they lose-16→ 1571
Matthew RiddleNow 1583
If they win+24→ 1607
If they lose-24→ 1559

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

0.97
Sig. strikes / min
3.01
30%
Strike accuracy
42%
2.10
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.74
32%
Strike defense
55%
0
Takedown avg.
3.51
0%
Takedown accuracy
50%
67%
Takedown defense
89%
0.50
Submission avg.
0.54

Trajectory

Dan CramerMatthew Riddle
155016002011201220132014

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
9 (82%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew Riddle60%
Dan Cramer 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew Riddle a 60% favorite over Dan Cramer in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Cramer's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1587 vs 1583), separated by just 4 points.

Matthew Riddle enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Cramer finishes 18% of wins inside the distance.

Dan Cramer and Matthew Riddle share 1 common opponent: Dante Rivera.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

LossDecision · 2010
Dante Rivera
WinDecision - Unanimous · 2008