Dan Downes vs Nae Young Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record1-1-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamKorean Zombie MMA· 1591 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
If they win+24→ 1523
If they lose-24→ 1475
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1481 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan DownesNae Young Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nae Young Lee78%
Dan Downes 22%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nae Young Lee a 78% favorite over Dan Downes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Downes's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1499), separated by just 2 points.
Dan Downes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.