Dan Downes vs Pil Seung Ko
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record2-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Roufusport· 1685 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeamTeam Best
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1519 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1513 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan DownesPil Seung Ko
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Pil Seung Ko73%
Dan Downes 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Pil Seung Ko a 73% favorite over Dan Downes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1504), separated by just 3 points.
Dan Downes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.