Dan Downes vs Yusuf Nazokatov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-3-0Record3-3-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
6'0"Height5'11"
TBDReach-
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
RoufusportTeamNext Generation MMA Liverpool
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
If they win+24→ 1521
If they lose-24→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan DownesYusuf Nazokatov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Yusuf Nazokatov72%
Dan Downes 28%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Yusuf Nazokatov a 72% favorite over Dan Downes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Downes's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1501 vs 1497), separated by just 4 points.
Dan Downes finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Yusuf Nazokatov 67%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.