Dan Hardy vs Georges St-Pierre
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record26-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"Reach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamTristar Gym
What's at stake
Georges St-Pierre is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Dan Hardy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-8→ 1676
If they win+8→ 1803
If they lose-16→ 1779
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1742 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyGeorges St-Pierre
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Georges St-Pierre74%
Dan Hardy 26%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Georges St-Pierre a 74% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Georges St-Pierre holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1684, a 111-point edge.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Georges St-Pierre enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Georges St-Pierre 54%.
Dan Hardy and Georges St-Pierre share 1 common opponent: Carlos Condit.
Georges St-Pierre carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.