Dan Hardy vs Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"Reach72"
170 lbsWeight171 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamCalifornia Mixed Martial Arts· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1550 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyJean-Paul Lebosnoyani
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani70%
Dan Hardy 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani a 70% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Hardy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani 73%.
Dan Hardy carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.