Dan Hardy vs Marcus Davis
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record23-11-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamTeam Irish
What's at stake
Dan Hardy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Marcus Davis carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1695
If they lose-13→ 1671
If they win+13→ 1669
If they lose-11→ 1645
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyMarcus Davis
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hardy70%
Marcus Davis 30%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hardy a 70% favorite over Marcus Davis in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
Dan Hardy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1684 to 1656, a 28-point edge.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Marcus Davis 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.