Dan Hardy vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record15-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+15→ 1713
If they lose-17→ 1681
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick51%
Dan Hardy 49%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 51% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1698), separated by just 14 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Dan Hardy and Mike Swick share 1 common opponent: Marcus Davis.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.