Dan Hardy vs Omran Chaaban
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record10-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74"Reach73"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamTeam KF Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1700
If they lose-16→ 1668
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyOmran Chaaban
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Omran Chaaban60%
Dan Hardy 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Omran Chaaban a 60% favorite over Dan Hardy in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Dan Hardy's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1684), separated by just 0 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Omran Chaaban enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Omran Chaaban 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.