Dan Hardy vs Thomas Blackorby
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record5-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+24→ 1707
If they lose-24→ 1659
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyThomas Blackorby
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hardy60%
Thomas Blackorby 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hardy a 60% favorite over Thomas Blackorby in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1683), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Thomas Blackorby enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Blackorby 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.