Dan Hardy vs Tom Mullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
25-10-0Record12-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'9"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight160 lbs
Team Rough HouseTeamAspire Combat Sports Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+16→ 1701
If they lose-16→ 1669
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1661 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HardyTom Mullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hardy54%
Tom Mullen 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hardy a 54% favorite over Tom Mullen in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tom Mullen's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1685), separated by just 1 points.
Dan Hardy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Tom Mullen enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Dan Hardy finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tom Mullen 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.