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Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Holt vs Elvin Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Holt
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Dan Holt

“The Villain”

4-2-0WelterweightCFFC

1545Average

Tale of the tape

4-2-0Record6-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"Reach-
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMMA Institute

What's at stake

Elvin Romero is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Dan Holt carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Dan HoltNow 1545
If they win+27→ 1572
If they lose-21→ 1524
Elvin RomeroNow 1592
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-27→ 1565

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1518 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
Not available
Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
Not available
Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Dan HoltElvin Romero
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (83%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (17%)

Combat Edge model read

Elvin Romero55%
Dan Holt 45%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Elvin Romero a 55% favorite over Dan Holt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Elvin Romero holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1592 to 1545, a 47-point edge.

Dan Holt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Elvin Romero enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Dan Holt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Elvin Romero 83%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.