Combat Edge Intelligence

Dan Holt vs Elvin Romero

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Dan Holt
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Dan Holt

“The Villain”

4-1-0WelterweightCFFC

1566Solid

Tale of the tape

4-1-0Record5-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height6'0"
75"ReachTBD
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamMMA Institute

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Dan HoltNow 1566
If they win+24→ 1590
If they lose-24→ 1542
Elvin RomeroNow 1572
If they win+24→ 1596
If they lose-24→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1520 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1511 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Dan HoltElvin Romero
1550160020252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
5 (100%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Elvin Romero53%
Dan Holt 47%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Elvin Romero a 53% favorite over Dan Holt in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1566 vs 1572), separated by just 6 points.

Dan Holt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Elvin Romero 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.