Dan Holt vs Áureo Cruz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-2-0Record3-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'1"Height5'10"
75"Reach63"
160 lbsWeight155 lbs
Manchester Top TeamTeamNew Generation MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
If they win+24→ 1570
If they lose-24→ 1522
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1528 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Dan HoltÁureo Cruz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Holt59%
Áureo Cruz 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Holt a 59% favorite over Áureo Cruz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1546 vs 1546), separated by just 0 points.
Dan Holt enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Dan Holt finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Áureo Cruz 67%.
Dan Holt carries a 12-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.