Dan Hooker vs Edson Barboza
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-14-0Record24-14-0
LightweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'11"
75"Reach75"
156 lbsWeight145 lbs
City KickboxingTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Dan Hooker is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Edson Barboza carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1736
If they lose-13→ 1712
If they win+13→ 1695
If they lose-11→ 1671
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1762 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1724 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Dan HookerEdson Barboza
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Dan Hooker70%
Edson Barboza 30%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Dan Hooker a 70% favorite over Edson Barboza in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Dan Hooker holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1682, a 43-point edge.
Dan Hooker enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Edson Barboza enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Dan Hooker finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Edson Barboza 63%.
Dan Hooker and Edson Barboza share 1 common opponent: Jalin Turner.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.